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About
Countries that have not carried out universal mass vaccination against tuberculosis (BCG) have been shown to have higher incidence and death rates due to COVID-19 than countries with mass, long-term BCG immunization programmes.
The aim of the study is to answer the following questions:
A multicenter, randomized, partially blinded, placebo-controlled study will be conducted in Rzeszow/Krakow/ Katowice/Warsaw on a group of 1000 volunteers, health care workers according to the following schedule: V 0-1: inclusion/informed consent/interview; V2: administration of TB skin test/anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG test/serum banking*; V3: TB skin test (TST) interpretation and subjects' division into three groups: (I) positive TST - observation; (II) negative TST- BCG-10 vaccination; (III) negative TST - placebo. Division into groups II and III based on randomisation; V4: serum banking*. Parallel beginning from V3, weekly telephone monitoring participants' health status; In case of COVID-19 symptoms a nasopharyngeal swab to confirm SARS-CoV-2 infection + serum banking*. V5: 3 months after vaccination at the end of the study: history/anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG test, serum banking*.
Statistical analysis - comparison of the course of COVID-19 in groups: (I) with positive TST + observation, (II) with negative TST + BCG, (III) with negative TST + placebo - should demonstrate whether mass BCG vaccination has an impact on the incidence and course of COVID-19.
* to measure the level of cytokines involved in cell-mediated immunity process
Full description
Trial design:
The multicentre, randomised, double-blind placebo-controlled trial will be conducted in five centres: Rzeszów, Kraków, Katowice, Warsaw (2 centres) in a group of 1000 volunteers, health care workers (physicians, nurses, midwives, paramedics, laboratory diagnosticians, electroradiology technicians, physiotherapists, nutritionists, and orderlies), both women and men aged ≥25 years and employed in health care facilities in the above-mentioned cities and provinces.
Planned duration of the trial:
2-4 weeks -recruitment, inclusion in the trial, RT 23 testing, BCG-10 vaccination 3 months - observation after vaccination 18 months, calculated from the date of trial initiation (visit no. "0"); during this period the subjects are to provide the Research Team with telephone information about possible hospitalisations and other unexpected, sudden or significant changes in health.
Recruitment period:
Sending invitations to participate in the trial to the healthcare professionals involved as well as providing the subjects with " Information for trial participants" leaflets and electronic "Informed Consent" forms
Inclusion in the trial (visit No.0 - V0):):
• obtaining informed consent to participate in the trial by exchanging electronic information and declarations of intent between the centre (investigator) and the individual declaring readiness to participate in research with double verification of the subject identity /e-mail+SMS/, which is intended to limit direct contacts during the period of COVID-19 epidemic risk
Inclusion in the trial (visit No.1 - V1):
Running the RT 23 test (visit No.2 - V2):
RT23 test reading and BCG -10 vaccination (visit No.3-V3)
Positive subjects:
Negative subjects:
After the visit, the investigator enters its results into the medical documentation and the e-CRF system.
In the medical records of visit 3 (written and electronic), the result of randomization is not disclosed.
After visit 3, the division of subjects into Groups II and III (randomisation) is recorded only in separate written records; the physician participating in visit 2 and 3 sends the documentation to the leading centre after the end of visit 3, where it is stored and fully protected against access of blinded personnel.
Blood collection - visit No. 4 (V4):
Blood collection - visit No. 5 (V5):
Remote phone visit
• carried out for a period of three months between visit 3 (V3) and visit 5 (V5), once a week; during this visit the physician (member of the research team) asks questions according to the attached phone contact card.
Interventional visit
Moreover,
Statistical analysis Statistical analysis will be conducted using MedCalc v17.7 software. The quantitative variables will be presented as an arithmetic mean and standard deviation (variables with a normal distribution) or median and interquartile range (variables with a non-normal distribution/ a skewed distribution). The distribution will be assessed using the Shapiro-Wilk test. The qualitative variables will be presented as an absolute value and percentage. The inter-group differences for quantitative variables will be evaluated by the Student's t-test or analysis of variance (independent samples, variables with a normal distribution), and the Mann-Whitney U or Kruskal-Wallis test (independent samples, skewed variables).
In cases where significant inter-group differences have been demonstrated based on the ANOVA or Kruskal-Wallis test, a post-hoc analysis will be performed. The significance of differences for quantitative dependent variables will be assessed applying the Student t-test for dependent samples or the non-parametric equivalent of variance analysis, or the Wilcoxon signed-rank or Friedman's rank test (depending on the number of groups and the distribution). For unrelated qualitative variables, the chi-squared test or Fisher's exact test will be used, while for related variables the McNemar's test will be applied. The correlation between inter-qualitative variables will be analysed using the Pearson correlation analysis or Spearman's rank correlation. For selected qualitative dependencies for quality dichotomous variables, the odds ratios (or relative risk factors) and their 95% confidence intervals will be calculated. The results of simple analyses will be the basis for advanced statistical analysis methods, i.e. logistic regression models or multiple regression analyses. Models will include variables with p<0.1 in simple analysis will be included in the models mentioned above. Moreover, the odds ratios together with 95% confidence intervals (logistic regression) or regression coefficients with their standard error (multiple regression) will be estimated. Finally, p<0.05 will be considered statistically significant.
Minimum number of trial subjects:
A/ Assuming that 50% of individuals have negative tuberculin test results when alpha=0.05 and measurement precision=5%, a group of at least 384 subjects (~400) should be recruited. Assuming a 10 % loss of subjects between the initiation and reading of the tuberculin test, the group subjected to the tuberculin test should contain at least 450 people.
B/ Assuming a 10% difference in endpoint occurrence (disease) when alpha=0.05 is expected, at least 193 individuals in each group (~200) should be examined. Given the loss to follow -up of 10 %, each group (study and control) should include at least 220 individuals.
C/ In conclusion, considering all the above calculations, at least 880 individuals (~900) should be included in the trial. Given that 10% of subjects will not give their informed consent to participate in the trial, at least 990 individuals (~1000) should be invited to the project.
Note: Six weeks after the inclusion of the last subject, the number of serious adverse events (SAEs) in each group is to be analysed in order to decide whether to continue the follow-up or to administer the BCG vaccine to all non-vaccinated subjects.
Data analysed:
Incidence and deaths rates in the study group
Additionally:
documented SARS-CoV-2 infection
duration of symptoms
types of symptoms and their frequency
average duration of domestic isolation
maintenance of body temperature ≥37.5oC, in the ranges of:
in the case of hospitalisation: length of treatment, including possible ICU stay, ventilator therapy, complications, death.
group characteristics:
Laboratory tests during the trial:
standard planned blood test during visit 2 (running the RT23 test,) -collection of 5 ml of blood (determination of the presence of SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies, determination of the level of cytokines regulating cellular immunity - hereinafter referred to as the cytokine level)
within 6-8 weeks after BCG vaccination, collection of 5 ml of blood for cytokine level determinations
after the completion of follow-ups (3 months after the last study participant was included), collection of 5 ml of blood (for determination of IgG antibody levels, SARS-CoV-2 virus, and cytokine levels).
if COVID-19 symptoms occur in the subject:
the subject eligible for hospitalisation will be urgently (emergently) hospitalised due to COVID-19 and tested according to the procedures in force in the hospital; moreover, each subject will receive an identifier (similar to ID) with information about participation in the trial and a request to the personnel assuming care of the subject to inform the research team and secure samples (5 ml of blood for cytokine determination and a swab from the nasopharynx for the SARS-CovV-2 genetic material testing)
in the case of the subject not eligible for hospitalisations with symptoms suggestive of the infection but not requiring hospitalisation, symptoms and their duration will be noted and during the intervention visit 5 ml of blood will be sampled for cytokine determinations and a nasopharyngeal swab will be taken for testing whether SARS-CoV-2 genetic material is present or otherwise. The material will be collected at the subject's home in accordance with the safety procedure.
Methodology of laboratory tests Laboratory blood tests for determinations of SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies and cytokine levels will be carried out..
Procedure - collection and transport of material to the laboratory preparing it for banking
• Collection of nasopharyngeal swabs for SARS CoV-2 genetic material testing using the RT-qPCR test and blood sampling to assess cytokine and/or IgG levels
Criteria for completion of the trial
According to its program, the trial will last for a period of 3 months from the date of visit No. 3 (administration of the vaccine) to the date of visit 5 (blood collection for determinations of IgG SARS-CoV-2 antibodies and cytokine levels).
Over the next 15 months, the subjects will be asked to provide the Research Team with telephone information about possible hospitalizations and other unexpected, sudden or significant changes in their health.
The trial will be completed after the last visit of the last subject and after the results serological and genetic tests (PCR-SARS) are available, approximately 8 months after its initiation.
The observation of possible SAEs reported by the subjects will be completed 18 months after the commencement of the trial.
Enrollment
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Inclusion criteria
Exclusion criteria
Primary purpose
Allocation
Interventional model
Masking
1,000 participants in 3 patient groups, including a placebo group
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Central trial contact
Artur Mazur, prof.; Hanna Czajka, prof.
Data sourced from clinicaltrials.gov
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