Pancreatic Disease Burden in Older Adults (1990-2040)

Naval Military Medical University

Status: Completed

Conditions: Pancreatitis; Pancreatic Cancer

Treatments: Biological: Natural history

Study type: Observational

Funder types: Other

Identifiers

NCT07177599

GePCPS-01

Details and patient eligibility

About

Using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, the investigators analyzed age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for pancreatic cancer and pancreatitis in adults aged ≥70 years across 204 countries and territories, stratified by sex, Socio-Demographic Index (SDI), health system performance, and region. The investigators calculated estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs), applied age-period-cohort modelling, and used Bayesian models to project future burden. Attributable burdens for key risk factors were also estimated.

Enrollment: 723,415 patients

Sex: All

Ages: 70+ years old

Volunteers: No Healthy Volunteers

Inclusion criteria

• Diagnosis with pancreatic cancer or pancreatitis
• Diagnosis in 1990 through 2021
• Age 70+ years

Exclusion criteria

• Age <70 years
• Other non-pancreatic diseases

Trial design

723,415 participants in 2 patient groups

Pancreatic Cancer

Treatment:

Biological: Natural history

Pancreatitis

Treatment:

Biological: Natural history