Prediction Model Based on Computed Tomography Liver Volume for the Short-term Mortality in Hepatitis B Related Acute-on-Chronic

Xi'an Jiaotong University

Status: Completed

Conditions: Hepatitis B, Chronic; Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

Study type: Observational

Funder types: Other

Identifiers

NCT03977857

XJTU1AF2019LSK-2019-061

Details and patient eligibility

About

HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) deteriorates rapidly with a high short-term mortality. Early identification and accurate prognostic prediction was critical to improve survival rate. This study was sought to determine the liver volumetry as predictor for short-term mortality in HBV-ACLF and develop a simpler prognostic model based on liver morphology. Liver volumetry were determined from CT at admission. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to identify the optimum prognostic indicators and develop prognostic model. Additionally, receiver operating characteristic curves were analyzed to evaluate the predictive ability of the model.

Full description

HBV-ACLF deteriorates rapidly with a high short-term mortality and early identification and accurate prognostic prediction may be the key to make clinical decision and improve survival rate. Liver volume, non-invasively reflects the balance of structural collapse with hepatic regeneration, predicting the prognosis of liver diseases. However, there is no idea whether the liver volume is an indicator to predict the mortality of HBV-ACLF patients. The present study evaluated the difference of liver volume between 28-day survival group and non-survivals and developed a new prognostic model based on liver volume . This study highlighted the significance of liver morphology in predicting the outcome of HBV-ACLF for the first time.

Enrollment: 486 patients

Sex: All

Ages: 18 to 70 years old

Volunteers: No Healthy Volunteers

Inclusion criteria

1. age 18-70 years, male or female.
2. Acute hepatic insult manifesting as jaundice and coagulopathy, complicated within 4 weeks by ascites, and/or encephalopathy in a patient with chronic HBV infection
3. Abdominal CT examination was performed within 3 days after admission
4. Biochemical examinations were available within 3 days before or after CT scan

Exclusion criteria

1. Patients with evidence of non-B hepatitis virus: alcohol abuse leads to liver failure, autoimmune leads to liver failure, oxic or other causes that might lead to liver failure
2. Past or current hepatocellular carcinoma
3. Serious diseases in other organ systems
4. Chronic liver failure
5. There was no CT imaging data or the interval between CT scan and diagnosis of liver failure >3 days

Trial design

486 participants in 2 patient groups

28-day nonsurvival or transplantation

Description:

patients who died or underwent liver transplantation within 28 days since admission

28-day transplantation-free survival

Description:

patients who survived without liver transplantation at 28 days since admission