Risk Evaluation for Support: Predicting Elder Life in the Community Tool (RESPECT)

Ottawa Hospital Research Institute

Status: Completed

Conditions: Death

Treatments: Procedure: Home Care/RAI-HC Assessment

Study type: Observational

Funder types: Other

Identifiers

NCT02779309

CIHR FRN - 142876

Trim no. P0901 074 (Other Identifier)

Details and patient eligibility

About

To develop a mortality risk prediction model that can be applied to the wide spectrum of risks that are seen in the home care setting.

Full description

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Older adults living in the community often have multiple, chronic conditions and functional impairments. A challenge for healthcare providers working in the community is the lack of a predictive tool that can be applied to the broad spectrum of mortality risks observed and may be used to inform care planning.

Objective: To develop a mortality risk prediction model for older adults in the home care setting. The final algorithm will be implemented as a web-based calculator that can be used by older adults needing care, as well as their informal and formal caregivers.

Design: Open cohort study using the Resident Assessment Instrument for Home Care (RAI-HC) data in Ontario, Canada, from January 1, 2007, to December 31, 2013.

Participants: The derivation cohort will consist of approximately 437 000 home care recipients from January 1, 2007, to December 31, 2012. A split sample validation cohort will include approximately 122 000 recipients from January 1 to December 31, 2013.

Main outcome measures: Predicted survival from the time of an RAI-HC assessment. All deaths (N ≈ 245 000) will be ascertained through linkage to the provincial vital statistics records.

Statistical analysis: Proportional hazards regression will be estimated after assessment of assumptions. Predictors will include sociodemographic characteristics, social support, health conditions, functional status, cognition, symptoms of decline, and prior healthcare use. Model performance will be evaluated for 6- and 12-month predicted risks, including measures of calibration (e.g., calibration plots) and discrimination (e.g., c-statistics). The final algorithm will be generated by combining development and validation data.

Enrollment: 486,000 patients

Sex: All

Ages: 50 to 105 years old

Volunteers: Accepts Healthy Volunteers

Inclusion criteria

• Have received a structured RAI-HC assessment
• Between 50 and 105 years of age

Exclusion criteria

• Not eligible for Ontario's universal health insurance program (OHIP)
• Did not receive a structured RAI-HC assessment

Trial design

486,000 participants in 2 patient groups

Development Cohort

Description:

437,000 home care recipients who received services from January 1, 2007 to December 31, 2012.

Treatment:

Procedure: Home Care/RAI-HC Assessment

Validation Cohort

Description:

122,000 home care recipients who received services from January 1, 2013 to December 31, 2013.

Treatment:

Procedure: Home Care/RAI-HC Assessment