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This study aims to develop a cost-effective screening strategy for the Singapore population by targeted screening of people who have a high risk of stomach cancer, in order to detect early signs of the disease at a stage that can be prevented or cured. Often, patients only consult their doctors when they have advanced symptoms, by which time the cancer may be at a difficult to treat, or incurable stage.
Using costs in the Singapore health system as well as local population risk profiles and demographics, our previous study demonstrated that screening of high-risk groups is cost-effective and a panel of serum makers was effective in differentiating high-risk from low-risk individuals. This study aims to validate the predictive value of various blood biomarkers, such as that of antibodies against Helicobacter pylori, pepsinogen levels, micro RNAs (miRNAs) and blood-based protein markers in participants who have been scheduled to undergo upper gastrointestinal (GI) endoscopy for clinical reasons. If successful, the marker can be used to stratify population into different risk groups and various screening systems can be provided according to different risk level. This will reduce the number of annual invasive screening examinations required to detect early gastric cancer (GC), thereby rendering it cost-effective to generalize as clinical practice in Singapore.
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Objectives:
This study aims to
Study Design This is a prospective cohort study involving 8000 subjects who are referred for upper GI endoscopy for standard clinical indications. Blood will be drawn from subjects for blood tests, including antibodies against H. pylori, pepsinogen levels, specific miRNA levels, blood-based protein markers, before undergoing an upper GI endoscopy for clinical reasons. Subjects will be monitored for a period of 10 years via verification with the National Registry of Diseases Office (NRDO) of Singapore. The correlation between the blood test results and findings from the clinical endoscopy or NRDO database verification will be analyzed to determine the predictive value.
Enrolment Patients undergoing upper gastrointestinal endoscopy will be considered for enrolment provided they meet the inclusion and exclusion criteria. 8000 subjects will be enrolled. The Patient Informed Consent Form will be discussed with the patient. If acceptable, the form will be signed by the patient, Principal Investigator and witness if applicable. The subject will be assigned initials and a number in the order in which they were enrolled. Subjects will also be asked to provide information on demographics, family history of gastric cancer, diet, medical history, and lifestyle habits. The data will be captured in a comprehensive database.
Blood Collection 15 mls of blood will be drawn from each subject. Serum, plasma and white blood cells will be extracted.
Analyses
Sample Size Calculation In our previous case-control study, 10% of the control group had pepsinogen (PG) determined atrophic gastritis, and the odds ratio (95%CI) for the risk of developing gastric cancer was 4.02 (2.56-6.30) compared with subjects who had no PG atrophic gastritis. A minimum of 47 gastric cancer cases are required to evaluate the PG-H. Pylori panel in the prediction of gastric cancer risk (with odds ratio 3.5) at power of 90% and p-value <0.05. Based on the estimated gastric cancer prevalence rate among NUH patients of the gastroenterology and upper GI surgery clinics of 0.6%, a cohort size of 8000 subjects will be needed.
Statistical Analysis The chi-square test and the t-test will be used to compare the distributions of selected demographic, lifestyle and other risk factors between cases and controls. The logistic regression method will be used to examine the associations between blood markers measured and risk of gastric cancer. Statistical computing will be carried out using the SPSS 19. The statistical significance level is set at two-sided P value of 0.05.
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6,862 participants in 1 patient group
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Data sourced from clinicaltrials.gov
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